Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, AS Roma carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
AS Roma at home vs Genoa away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Winless in last 3
No notable streak
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
AS Roma faced Genoa in a Serie A fixture on 17 October 2026. Our AI model gives AS Roma a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Genoa 20%; AS Roma carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, AS Roma have averaged 1.2 points per game against 0.8 for Genoa. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.2 goals for AS Roma and 1.0 for Genoa. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 9 meetings, AS Roma won 5, 2 ended level and Genoa won 2. The predicted score is AS Roma 2–0 Genoa.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 28 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, AS Roma carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: AS Roma 2-0 Genoa
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 9 meetings: AS Roma won 5, drawn 2, Genoa won 2 (21 goals in total, 2.3 per game)
- Both teams scored (BTTS) in 5 of the last 9 meetings
- 4 of the last 9 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 6 meetings with AS Roma at home: AS Roma won 5, drawn 1, Genoa won 0
- AS Roma: last 10 matches, won 4, drawn 4, lost 2 (scored 20, conceded 13, goal difference +7)
- AS Roma kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 10 matches
- AS Roma: last 10 home matches, won 6, drawn 2, lost 2 (scored 25, conceded 12)
- Genoa: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 2, lost 7 (scored 7, conceded 24, goal difference -17)
- Genoa kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Genoa: last 10 away matches, won 2, drawn 2, lost 6 (scored 6, conceded 19)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 9 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingGenoa 2-1 AS Roma (8 Mar 2026)
- Biggest winGenoa 4-1 AS Roma (28 Sep 2023)
Previous meetings
Recent results
AS Roma recent results
Genoa recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionSerie A
- MatchAS Roma vs Genoa
- Date17 October 2026
- Kick-off18:45 UTC / 19:45 UK
- Home teamAS Roma
- Away teamGenoa
- StatusFinished (2-0)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win AS Roma vs Genoa?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, AS Roma carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Genoa?
The model predicts AS Roma 2–0 Genoa, with high confidence.
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Genoa?
AS Roma 2-0 Genoa.
Was the prediction for AS Roma vs Genoa correct?
Yes. The prediction matched the exact full-time score.
When was AS Roma vs Genoa?
The match was played on 17 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC (19:45 UK time).
Where can I find AS Roma vs Genoa statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Genoa?
In the last 9 meetings before this match, AS Roma won 5, 2 ended in a draw and Genoa won 2.
How have AS Roma and Genoa been playing recently?
AS Roma won 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game. Genoa won 1 of their last 10, scoring 0.7 per game.