Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Bayern Munich carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Freiburg at home vs Bayern Munich away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Lost last 2
- Unbeaten in last 10
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Freiburg face Bayern Munich in a Bundesliga fixture on 25 October 2026. Our AI model gives Freiburg a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bayern Munich 51%; Bayern Munich carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Freiburg have averaged 1.4 points per game against 1.8 for Bayern Munich. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.6 goals for Freiburg and 2.6 for Bayern Munich. Recent matches involving the two teams average 4.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 10 meetings, Freiburg won 1, 1 ended level and Bayern Munich won 8. The predicted score is Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 26 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Bayern Munich carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Last updated: 23 October 2026, 22:31 UTC
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 10 meetings: Freiburg won 1, drawn 1, Bayern Munich won 8 (39 goals in total, 3.9 per game)
- Both teams scored (BTTS) in 6 of the last 10 meetings
- 8 of the last 10 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 6 meetings with Freiburg at home: Freiburg won 0, drawn 2, Bayern Munich won 4
- Freiburg: last 10 matches, won 6, drawn 1, lost 3 (scored 21, conceded 15, goal difference +6)
- Freiburg kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- Freiburg: last 10 home matches, won 8, drawn 1, lost 1 (scored 27, conceded 11)
- Bayern Munich: last 10 matches, won 6, drawn 4, lost 0 (scored 36, conceded 11, goal difference +25)
- Bayern Munich kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 10 matches
- Bayern Munich: last 10 away matches, won 6, drawn 3, lost 1 (scored 21, conceded 13)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 10 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingFreiburg 2-3 Bayern Munich (4 Apr 2026)
- Biggest winBayern Munich 5-0 Freiburg (16 Oct 2022)
Previous meetings
Recent results
Freiburg recent results
Bayern Munich recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionBundesliga
- MatchFreiburg vs Bayern Munich
- Date25 October 2026
- Kick-off16:30 UTC / 16:30 UK
- Home teamFreiburg
- Away teamBayern Munich
- StatusScheduled
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Bayern Munich carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
The model predicts Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich, with high confidence.
When is Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?
The match is scheduled for 25 October 2026 at 16:30 UTC (16:30 UK time).
Where can I find Freiburg vs Bayern Munich statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between Freiburg and Bayern Munich?
In the last 10 meetings before this match, Freiburg won 1, 1 ended in a draw and Bayern Munich won 8.
How have Freiburg and Bayern Munich been playing recently?
Freiburg won 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.1 goals per game. Bayern Munich won 6 of their last 10, scoring 3.6 per game.
Why is Freiburg vs Bayern Munich a featured match?
This fixture is flagged as a featured match in Bundesliga, based on its profile and audience interest, so it gets extended coverage on PredictionsFooty.
What are the key factors behind the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction?
The page looks at recent form, venue form, goal balance, head to head and sets them beside the AI probabilities. For this match: statistics agree.
Is Freiburg vs Bayern Munich expected to be a high-scoring game?
Recent matches involving the two teams average 4.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game.
How accurate are PredictionsFooty predictions in Bundesliga?
Across the 100 most recent predicted matches before this one, the model called the correct result 43% of the time and the exact score 10% of the time.
Where can I see more Bundesliga predictions?
Browse every match on the Bundesliga predictions page.