Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, PSG carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
PSG at home vs Lyon away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Won last 7
No notable streak
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
PSG face Lyon in a Ligue 1 fixture on 25 October 2026. Our AI model gives PSG a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lyon 21%; PSG carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, PSG have averaged 3.0 points per game against 1.8 for Lyon. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.1 goals for PSG and 1.6 for Lyon. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.6 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 10 meetings, PSG won 7, 1 ended level and Lyon won 2. The predicted score is PSG 3–2 Lyon.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 35 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, PSG carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Last updated: 23 October 2026, 23:15 UTC
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 10 meetings: PSG won 7, drawn 1, Lyon won 2 (34 goals in total, 3.4 per game)
- Both teams scored (BTTS) in 8 of the last 10 meetings
- 7 of the last 10 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 5 meetings with PSG at home: PSG won 3, drawn 0, Lyon won 2
- PSG: last 10 matches, won 7, drawn 2, lost 1 (scored 28, conceded 14, goal difference +14)
- PSG kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- PSG: last 10 home matches, won 6, drawn 3, lost 1 (scored 26, conceded 15)
- Lyon: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 2, lost 3 (scored 17, conceded 13, goal difference +4)
- Lyon kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- Lyon: last 10 away matches, won 3, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 10, conceded 12)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 10 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingPSG 1-2 Lyon (19 Apr 2026)
- Biggest winPSG 4-1 Lyon (21 Apr 2024)
Previous meetings
Recent results
PSG recent results
Lyon recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionLigue 1
- MatchPSG vs Lyon
- Date25 October 2026
- Kick-off19:45 UTC / 19:45 UK
- Home teamPSG
- Away teamLyon
- StatusScheduled
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win PSG vs Lyon?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, PSG carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for PSG vs Lyon?
The model predicts PSG 3–2 Lyon, with high confidence.
When is PSG vs Lyon?
The match is scheduled for 25 October 2026 at 19:45 UTC (19:45 UK time).
Where can I find PSG vs Lyon statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between PSG and Lyon?
In the last 10 meetings before this match, PSG won 7, 1 ended in a draw and Lyon won 2.
How have PSG and Lyon been playing recently?
PSG won 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.8 goals per game. Lyon won 5 of their last 10, scoring 1.7 per game.
Why is PSG vs Lyon a featured match?
This fixture is flagged as a featured match in Ligue 1, based on its profile and audience interest, so it gets extended coverage on PredictionsFooty.
What are the key factors behind the PSG vs Lyon prediction?
The page looks at recent form, venue form, goal balance, head to head and sets them beside the AI probabilities. For this match: statistics agree.
Is PSG vs Lyon expected to be a high-scoring game?
Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.6 goals, which points to a high-scoring game.
How accurate are PredictionsFooty predictions in Ligue 1?
Across the 99 most recent predicted matches before this one, the model called the correct result 47% of the time and the exact score 10% of the time.
Where can I see more Ligue 1 predictions?
Browse every match on the Ligue 1 predictions page.