Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, PSG carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
PSG at home vs Le Mans away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Won last 3
- Unbeaten in last 3
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
PSG faced Le Mans in a Ligue 1 fixture on 10 October 2026. Our AI model gives PSG a 79% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Le Mans 9%; PSG carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, PSG have averaged 2.0 points per game against 1.2 for Le Mans. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.0 goals for PSG and 1.3 for Le Mans. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 2 meetings, PSG won 2, 0 ended level and Le Mans won 0. The predicted score is PSG 2–0 Le Mans.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 67 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, PSG carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: PSG 3-1 Le Mans
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 2 meetings: PSG won 2, drawn 0, Le Mans won 0 (6 goals in total, 3.0 per game)
- 1 of the last 2 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 1 meetings with PSG at home: PSG won 1, drawn 0, Le Mans won 0
- PSG: last 10 matches, won 4, drawn 3, lost 3 (scored 17, conceded 14, goal difference +3)
- PSG kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- PSG: last 10 home matches, won 5, drawn 3, lost 2 (scored 23, conceded 14)
- Le Mans: last 8 matches, won 1, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 9, conceded 18, goal difference -9)
- Le Mans: last 4 away matches, won 0, drawn 1, lost 3 (scored 3, conceded 11)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 2 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingLe Mans 0-2 PSG (4 Feb 2025)
- Biggest winPSG 4-0 Le Mans (14 Jul 2021)
Recent results
PSG recent results
Le Mans recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionLigue 1
- MatchPSG vs Le Mans
- Date10 October 2026
- Kick-off18:45 UTC / 19:45 UK
- Home teamPSG
- Away teamLe Mans
- StatusFinished (3-1)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win PSG vs Le Mans?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, PSG carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for PSG vs Le Mans?
The model predicts PSG 2–0 Le Mans, with high confidence.
What was the final score of PSG vs Le Mans?
PSG 3-1 Le Mans.
Was the prediction for PSG vs Le Mans correct?
Partly. The predicted score was off, but the predicted outcome matched the real result.
When was PSG vs Le Mans?
The match was played on 10 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC (19:45 UK time).
Where can I find PSG vs Le Mans statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between PSG and Le Mans?
In the last 2 meetings before this match, PSG won 2, 0 ended in a draw and Le Mans won 0.
How have PSG and Le Mans been playing recently?
PSG won 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.7 goals per game. Le Mans won 1 of their last 8, scoring 1.1 per game.
Why is PSG vs Le Mans a featured match?
This fixture is flagged as a featured match in Ligue 1, based on its profile and audience interest, so it gets extended coverage on PredictionsFooty.
What are the key factors behind the PSG vs Le Mans prediction?
The page looks at recent form, venue form, goal balance and sets them beside the AI probabilities. For this match: statistics agree.
Is PSG vs Le Mans expected to be a high-scoring game?
Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game.
How accurate are PredictionsFooty predictions in Ligue 1?
Across the 99 most recent predicted matches before this one, the model called the correct result 47% of the time and the exact score 12% of the time.
Where can I see more Ligue 1 predictions?
Browse every match on the Ligue 1 predictions page.