Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, AC Milan carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Sassuolo at home vs AC Milan away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Sassuolo faced AC Milan in a Serie A fixture on 11 October 2026. Our AI model gives Sassuolo a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AC Milan 54%; AC Milan carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Sassuolo have averaged 1.6 points per game against 1.6 for AC Milan. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.5 goals for Sassuolo and 1.7 for AC Milan. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.1 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 10 meetings, Sassuolo won 4, 3 ended level and AC Milan won 3. The predicted score is Sassuolo 1–2 AC Milan.
Contrarian pick
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators lean towards the other side, so this is a less conventional call.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 30 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, AC Milan carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 10 meetings: Sassuolo won 4, drawn 3, AC Milan won 3 (37 goals in total, 3.7 per game)
- Both teams scored (BTTS) in 6 of the last 10 meetings
- 7 of the last 10 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 4 meetings with Sassuolo at home: Sassuolo won 1, drawn 2, AC Milan won 1
- Sassuolo: last 10 matches, won 3, drawn 2, lost 5 (scored 15, conceded 16, goal difference -1)
- Sassuolo kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Sassuolo: last 10 home matches, won 7, drawn 1, lost 2 (scored 19, conceded 11)
- AC Milan: last 10 matches, won 4, drawn 4, lost 2 (scored 17, conceded 14, goal difference +3)
- AC Milan kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- AC Milan: last 10 away matches, won 4, drawn 3, lost 3 (scored 14, conceded 15)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 10 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingSassuolo 2-0 AC Milan (3 May 2026)
- Biggest winAC Milan 6-1 Sassuolo (3 Dec 2024)
Previous meetings
Recent results
Sassuolo recent results
AC Milan recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionSerie A
- MatchSassuolo vs AC Milan
- Date11 October 2026
- Kick-off16:00 UTC / 17:00 UK
- Home teamSassuolo
- Away teamAC Milan
- StatusFinished (1-1)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, AC Milan carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The model predicts Sassuolo 1–2 AC Milan, with high confidence.
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan.
Was the prediction for Sassuolo vs AC Milan correct?
No. The predicted outcome did not match the real result.
When was Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The match was played on 11 October 2026 at 16:00 UTC (17:00 UK time).
Where can I find Sassuolo vs AC Milan statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and AC Milan?
In the last 10 meetings before this match, Sassuolo won 4, 3 ended in a draw and AC Milan won 3.
How have Sassuolo and AC Milan been playing recently?
Sassuolo won 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.5 goals per game. AC Milan won 4 of their last 10, scoring 1.7 per game.
Why is Sassuolo vs AC Milan a featured match?
This fixture is flagged as a featured match in Serie A, based on its profile and audience interest, so it gets extended coverage on PredictionsFooty.
What are the key factors behind the Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction?
The page looks at recent form, venue form, goal balance, head to head and sets them beside the AI probabilities. For this match: contrarian pick.
Is Sassuolo vs AC Milan expected to be a high-scoring game?
Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.1 goals, which points to a high-scoring game.
How accurate are PredictionsFooty predictions in Serie A?
Across the 100 most recent predicted matches before this one, the model called the correct result 45% of the time and the exact score 17% of the time.
Where can I see more Serie A predictions?
Browse every match on the Serie A predictions page.