Primeira Liga

VIT
Vitoria Guimaraes
vs
MAR
Maritimo Funchal

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Funchal Prediction

23 October 2026 Kick-off: 19:45 UTC / 20:45 UK

Predicted scoreVitoria Guimaraes 2–0 Maritimo Funchal
Kick-off19:45 UTC
Favoured outcomeVitoria Guimaraes
ConfidenceHigh

Match overview

AI win probability

Based on pre-game data.

45%
28%
27%
Vitoria Guimaraes winDrawMaritimo Funchal win

On the model’s numbers, Vitoria Guimaraes carries the higher win probability.

Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.

Form comparison

Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.

Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo Funchal
10Matches analysed10
1 / 2 / 7Won / drawn / lost0 / 0 / 10
1.10Goals scored per game0.40
3.00Goals conceded per game3.10
-19Goal difference-27
0.50Points per game0.00
0Clean sheets0
5Failed to score6

Goals per game

Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo Funchal
1.10
Scored
0.40
3.00
Conceded
3.10

Goal markets

Share of recent matches where each line was met.

Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo Funchal
50%
BTTS
40%
100%
Over 1.5
80%
90%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
Over 3.5
30%

Vitoria Guimaraes at home vs Maritimo Funchal away

Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.

Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo Funchal
10Matches analysed5
2 / 4 / 4Won / drawn / lost0 / 0 / 5
1.40Goals scored per game0.60
2.20Goals conceded per game4.00
1.00Points per game0.00
0Clean sheets0

Current streaks

Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Lost last 4
Maritimo Funchal
  • Lost last 10

Prediction explained

Key factors

Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.

Recent formClear edge: Vitoria Guimaraes
Points per game over the last 5 matches
Vitoria Guimaraes: 0.60 pts/gameMaritimo Funchal: 0.00 pts/game
Venue formClear edge: Vitoria Guimaraes
Points per game: Vitoria Guimaraes at home, Maritimo Funchal away
Vitoria Guimaraes: 1.00 pts/gameMaritimo Funchal: 0.00 pts/game
Goal balanceSlight edge: Vitoria Guimaraes
Scoring rate set against the opponent’s conceding rate
Vitoria Guimaraes: 2.1 goalsMaritimo Funchal: 1.7 goals
Goals trendHigh-scoring
Average total goals in both teams’ recent matches: 3.8

Why this prediction

Vitoria Guimaraes face Maritimo Funchal in a Primeira Liga fixture on 23 October 2026. Our AI model gives Vitoria Guimaraes a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Maritimo Funchal 27%; Vitoria Guimaraes carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Vitoria Guimaraes have averaged 0.6 points per game against 0.0 for Maritimo Funchal. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.1 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.7 for Maritimo Funchal. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.8 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Vitoria Guimaraes 2–0 Maritimo Funchal.

Statistics agree

The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.

How confident is the call?

LowGap under 7 points
MediumGap of 7 to 14 points
HighGap of 15 points or more

Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 17 percentage points, which rates as High.

Our prediction

Vitoria Guimaraes 2–0 Maritimo Funchal

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Vitoria Guimaraes carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.

Last updated: 23 October 2026, 14:33 UTC

Team form and stats

Vitoria Guimaraes
LLLLW
Last 5 matches
1Won
0Drawn
4Lost
5Goals scored
14Goals conceded
Home matches
1Won
2Drawn
2Lost
7Goals scored
13Goals conceded
Home Win
2-0
Maritimo Funchal
LLLLL
Last 5 matches
0Won
0Drawn
5Lost
1Goals scored
15Goals conceded
Away matches
0Won
0Drawn
5Lost
3Goals scored
20Goals conceded

Match facts

  • Vitoria Guimaraes: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 2, lost 7 (scored 11, conceded 30, goal difference -19)
  • Vitoria Guimaraes: last 10 home matches, won 2, drawn 4, lost 4 (scored 14, conceded 22)
  • Maritimo Funchal: last 10 matches, won 0, drawn 0, lost 10 (scored 4, conceded 31, goal difference -27)
  • Maritimo Funchal: last 5 away matches, won 0, drawn 0, lost 5 (scored 3, conceded 20)

Recent results

Vitoria Guimaraes recent results

Oct. 2026
Benfica
Vitoria Guimaraes
L
Pred 3-0 ✓
Aug. 2026
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria Guimaraes
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
May. 2026
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria Guimaraes
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Mar. 2026
Benfica
Vitoria Guimaraes
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Jan. 2026
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria Guimaraes
W
Pred 2-1 ✗
Nov. 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes
Benfica
L
Pred 1-3 ✓
Aug. 2025
Porto
Vitoria Guimaraes
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Mar. 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes
Betis
L
Pred 1-1 ✗
Mar. 2025
Betis
Vitoria Guimaraes
D
Pred 1-1 ✓
Jan. 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
D
Pred 1-1 ✓
Nov. 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes
Benfica
L
Pred 1-3 ✓
Mar. 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes
Betis
L
Pred 1-1 ✗
Jan. 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
D
Pred 1-1 ✓
Dec. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
Fiorentina
D
Pred 1-1 ✓✓
Nov. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
Mlada Boleslav
W
Oct. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
Boavista
D
Oct. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
NK Celje
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Sep. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
Porto
L
Pred 1-3 ✓
Apr. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
Porto
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Feb. 2024
Vitoria Guimaraes
Benfica
D
Pred 1-2 ✗

Maritimo Funchal recent results

Oct. 2026
Maritimo Funchal
Porto
L
Pred 1-2 ✓✓
Sep. 2026
Maritimo Funchal
Benfica
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Mar. 2023
Maritimo Funchal
Benfica
L
Feb. 2023
Maritimo Funchal
Porto
L
Pred 0-2 ✓✓
Sep. 2022
Benfica
Maritimo Funchal
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Aug. 2022
Porto
Maritimo Funchal
L
Apr. 2022
Maritimo Funchal
Benfica
L
Pred 1-1 ✗
Jan. 2022
Porto
Maritimo Funchal
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Dec. 2021
Benfica
Maritimo Funchal
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Apr. 2021
Benfica
Maritimo Funchal
L
Sep. 2022
Benfica
Maritimo Funchal
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Aug. 2022
Porto
Maritimo Funchal
L
Jan. 2022
Porto
Maritimo Funchal
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Dec. 2021
Benfica
Maritimo Funchal
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Apr. 2021
Benfica
Maritimo Funchal
L

Prediction accuracy

Track record before this match

Vitoria Guimaraes
Last 30 predicted matches
63%Correct result
10%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
Maritimo Funchal
Last 30 predicted matches
88%Correct result
38%Exact score
Based on 8 predicted matches
Primeira Liga
Last 100 predicted matches
72%Correct result
9%Exact score
Based on 100 predicted matches

How accuracy is measured

  • Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
  • Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
  • Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
  • Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
  • Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.

Match information

  • CompetitionPrimeira Liga
  • MatchVitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Funchal
  • Date23 October 2026
  • Kick-off19:45 UTC / 20:45 UK
  • Home teamVitoria Guimaraes
  • Away teamMaritimo Funchal
  • StatusScheduled

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Funchal?

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Vitoria Guimaraes carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.

What is the predicted score for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Funchal?

The model predicts Vitoria Guimaraes 2–0 Maritimo Funchal, with high confidence.

When is Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Funchal?

The match is scheduled for 23 October 2026 at 19:45 UTC (20:45 UK time).

Where can I find Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Funchal statistics?

This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.

How have Vitoria Guimaraes and Maritimo Funchal been playing recently?

Vitoria Guimaraes won 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.1 goals per game. Maritimo Funchal won 0 of their last 10, scoring 0.4 per game.