Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Atalanta carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Atalanta at home vs Pafos FC away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Atalanta faced Pafos FC in a UEFA Conference League fixture on 15 October 2026. Our AI model gives Atalanta a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Pafos FC 11%; Atalanta carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Atalanta have averaged 1.2 points per game against 0.8 for Pafos FC. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.3 goals for Atalanta and 1.0 for Pafos FC. Recent matches involving the two teams average 2.3 goals, which points to a balanced game. The predicted score is Atalanta 3–0 Pafos FC.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 55 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Atalanta carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Atalanta: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 2, lost 3 (scored 11, conceded 9, goal difference +2)
- Atalanta kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 10 matches
- Atalanta: last 10 home matches, won 4, drawn 3, lost 3 (scored 9, conceded 7)
- Pafos FC: last 10 matches, won 2, drawn 4, lost 4 (scored 11, conceded 15, goal difference -4)
- Pafos FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 10 matches
- Pafos FC: last 10 away matches, won 3, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 10, conceded 10)
Recent results
Atalanta recent results
Pafos FC recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionUEFA Conference League
- MatchAtalanta vs Pafos FC
- Date15 October 2026
- Kick-off19:00 UTC / 20:00 UK
- Home teamAtalanta
- Away teamPafos FC
- StatusFinished (3-1)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Atalanta vs Pafos FC?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Atalanta carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Pafos FC?
The model predicts Atalanta 3–0 Pafos FC, with high confidence.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Pafos FC?
Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC.
Was the prediction for Atalanta vs Pafos FC correct?
Partly. The predicted score was off, but the predicted outcome matched the real result.
When was Atalanta vs Pafos FC?
The match was played on 15 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC (20:00 UK time).
Where can I find Atalanta vs Pafos FC statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
How have Atalanta and Pafos FC been playing recently?
Atalanta won 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.1 goals per game. Pafos FC won 2 of their last 10, scoring 1.1 per game.