Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Estoril carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Estoril at home vs Moreirense away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Lost last 10
- Lost last 10
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Estoril face Moreirense in a Primeira Liga fixture on 25 October 2026. Our AI model gives Estoril a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Moreirense 35%; Estoril carries the higher win probability (confidence: Low). Over their last 5 matches, Estoril have averaged 0.0 points per game against 0.0 for Moreirense. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.7 goals for Estoril and 1.5 for Moreirense. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Estoril 1–0 Moreirense.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 3 percentage points, which rates as Low.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Estoril carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Last updated: 23 October 2026, 16:52 UTC
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Estoril: last 10 matches, won 0, drawn 0, lost 10 (scored 4, conceded 25, goal difference -21)
- Estoril: last 10 home matches, won 3, drawn 0, lost 7 (scored 9, conceded 22)
- Moreirense: last 10 matches, won 0, drawn 0, lost 10 (scored 5, conceded 29, goal difference -24)
- Moreirense: last 10 away matches, won 0, drawn 0, lost 10 (scored 6, conceded 28)
Recent results
Estoril recent results
Moreirense recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionPrimeira Liga
- MatchEstoril vs Moreirense
- Date25 October 2026
- Kick-off15:30 UTC / 15:30 UK
- Home teamEstoril
- Away teamMoreirense
- StatusScheduled
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Estoril vs Moreirense?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Estoril carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Moreirense?
The model predicts Estoril 1–0 Moreirense, with low confidence.
When is Estoril vs Moreirense?
The match is scheduled for 25 October 2026 at 15:30 UTC (15:30 UK time).
Where can I find Estoril vs Moreirense statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
How have Estoril and Moreirense been playing recently?
Estoril won 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 0.4 goals per game. Moreirense won 0 of their last 10, scoring 0.5 per game.