Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Finland carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Finland at home vs Albania away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Clean sheet in last 2
- Won last 2
- Clean sheet in last 2
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Finland faced Albania in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 3 October 2026. Our AI model gives Finland a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Albania 31%; Finland carries the higher win probability (confidence: Medium). Over their last 5 matches, Finland have averaged 0.8 points per game against 1.2 for Albania. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.1 goals for Finland and 1.4 for Albania. Recent matches involving the two teams average 2.4 goals, which points to a balanced game. The predicted score is Finland 1–1 Albania.
Contrarian pick
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators lean towards the other side, so this is a less conventional call.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 7 percentage points, which rates as Medium.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Finland carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Finland 2-1 Albania
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Finland: last 10 matches, won 3, drawn 1, lost 6 (scored 12, conceded 18, goal difference -6)
- Finland kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- Finland: last 10 home matches, won 4, drawn 1, lost 5 (scored 12, conceded 13)
- Albania: last 10 matches, won 4, drawn 1, lost 5 (scored 9, conceded 9, goal difference +0)
- Albania kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 10 matches
- Albania: last 10 away matches, won 5, drawn 1, lost 4 (scored 12, conceded 11)
Recent results
Finland recent results
Albania recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionUEFA Nations League
- MatchFinland vs Albania
- Date3 October 2026
- Kick-off13:00 UTC / 14:00 UK
- Home teamFinland
- Away teamAlbania
- StatusFinished (2-1)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Finland vs Albania?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Finland carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Finland vs Albania?
The model predicts Finland 1–1 Albania, with medium confidence.
What was the final score of Finland vs Albania?
Finland 2-1 Albania.
Was the prediction for Finland vs Albania correct?
No. The predicted outcome did not match the real result.
When was Finland vs Albania?
The match was played on 3 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC (14:00 UK time).
Where can I find Finland vs Albania statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
How have Finland and Albania been playing recently?
Finland won 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game. Albania won 4 of their last 10, scoring 0.9 per game.