Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Ajax carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Hajduk Split at home vs Ajax away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Lost last 2
- Unbeaten in last 3
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Hajduk Split faced Ajax in a UEFA Conference League fixture on 15 October 2026. Our AI model gives Hajduk Split a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ajax 46%; Ajax carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Hajduk Split have averaged 1.0 points per game against 2.0 for Ajax. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.6 goals for Hajduk Split and 2.7 for Ajax. Recent matches involving the two teams average 4.3 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Hajduk Split 1–2 Ajax.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 18 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Ajax carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Hajduk Split: last 3 matches, won 1, drawn 0, lost 2 (scored 5, conceded 7, goal difference -2)
- Hajduk Split: last 2 home matches, won 1, drawn 0, lost 1 (scored 3, conceded 3)
- Ajax: last 10 matches, won 6, drawn 3, lost 1 (scored 31, conceded 15, goal difference +16)
- Ajax kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- Ajax: last 10 away matches, won 7, drawn 3, lost 0 (scored 27, conceded 7)
Recent results
Hajduk Split recent results
Ajax recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionUEFA Conference League
- MatchHajduk Split vs Ajax
- Date15 October 2026
- Kick-off16:45 UTC / 17:45 UK
- Home teamHajduk Split
- Away teamAjax
- StatusFinished (2-1)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Ajax carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
The model predicts Hajduk Split 1–2 Ajax, with high confidence.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax.
Was the prediction for Hajduk Split vs Ajax correct?
No. The predicted outcome did not match the real result.
When was Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
The match was played on 15 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC (17:45 UK time).
Where can I find Hajduk Split vs Ajax statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
How have Hajduk Split and Ajax been playing recently?
Hajduk Split won 1 of their last 3 matches, scoring 1.7 goals per game. Ajax won 6 of their last 10, scoring 3.1 per game.