Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, a draw is the most likely single outcome.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Lithuania at home vs Azerbaijan away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Lithuania faced Azerbaijan in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 27 September 2026. Our AI model gives Lithuania a 33% chance of winning, the draw 39% and Azerbaijan 28%; a draw is the most likely single outcome (confidence: Low). Over their last 5 matches, Lithuania have averaged 0.6 points per game against 0.6 for Azerbaijan. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.8 goals for Lithuania and 1.4 for Azerbaijan. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan.
Statistics partly agree
The indicators are mixed or close to level, so recent data neither strongly backs nor contradicts the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 6 percentage points, which rates as Low.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, a draw is the most likely single outcome, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Lithuania: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 0, lost 9 (scored 8, conceded 21, goal difference -13)
- Lithuania kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Lithuania: last 10 home matches, won 0, drawn 4, lost 6 (scored 11, conceded 20)
- Azerbaijan: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 1, lost 8 (scored 6, conceded 28, goal difference -22)
- Azerbaijan kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Azerbaijan: last 10 away matches, won 1, drawn 0, lost 9 (scored 5, conceded 34)
Recent results
Lithuania recent results
Azerbaijan recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionUEFA Nations League
- MatchLithuania vs Azerbaijan
- Date27 September 2026
- Kick-off13:00 UTC / 14:00 UK
- Home teamLithuania
- Away teamAzerbaijan
- StatusFinished (1-1)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, a draw is the most likely single outcome, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
The model predicts Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan, with low confidence.
What was the final score of Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan.
Was the prediction for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan correct?
Yes. The prediction matched the exact full-time score.
When was Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
The match was played on 27 September 2026 at 13:00 UTC (14:00 UK time).
Where can I find Lithuania vs Azerbaijan statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
How have Lithuania and Azerbaijan been playing recently?
Lithuania won 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 0.8 goals per game. Azerbaijan won 1 of their last 10, scoring 0.6 per game.