Bundesliga

PAD
Paderborn 07
vs
HAM
Hamburger

Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger Prediction

24 October 2026 Kick-off: 13:30 UTC / 14:30 UK

Predicted scorePaderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger
Kick-off13:30 UTC
Favoured outcomeHamburger
ConfidenceMedium

Match overview

AI win probability

Based on pre-game data.

31%
27%
42%
Paderborn 07 winDrawHamburger win

On the model’s numbers, Hamburger carries the higher win probability.

Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.

Form comparison

Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.

Paderborn 07Hamburger
10Matches analysed10
2 / 3 / 5Won / drawn / lost5 / 1 / 4
0.90Goals scored per game1.30
1.50Goals conceded per game2.10
-6Goal difference-8
0.90Points per game1.60
2Clean sheets1
6Failed to score3

Goals per game

Paderborn 07Hamburger
0.90
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.10

Goal markets

Share of recent matches where each line was met.

Paderborn 07Hamburger
40%
BTTS
60%
60%
Over 1.5
90%
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
Over 3.5
40%

Paderborn 07 at home vs Hamburger away

Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.

Paderborn 07Hamburger
10Matches analysed10
5 / 0 / 5Won / drawn / lost3 / 2 / 5
1.60Goals scored per game1.20
1.50Goals conceded per game2.30
1.50Points per game1.10
1Clean sheets0

Current streaks

Paderborn 07

No notable streak

Hamburger
  • Won last 3

Prediction explained

Key factors

Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.

Recent formClear edge: Hamburger
Points per game over the last 5 matches
Paderborn 07: 0.80 pts/gameHamburger: 1.80 pts/game
Venue formSlight edge: Paderborn 07
Points per game: Paderborn 07 at home, Hamburger away
Paderborn 07: 1.50 pts/gameHamburger: 1.10 pts/game
Goal balanceEvenly matched
Scoring rate set against the opponent’s conceding rate
Paderborn 07: 1.5 goalsHamburger: 1.4 goals
Goals trendHigh-scoring
Average total goals in both teams’ recent matches: 2.9

Why this prediction

Paderborn 07 face Hamburger in a Bundesliga fixture on 24 October 2026. Our AI model gives Paderborn 07 a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hamburger 42%; Hamburger carries the higher win probability (confidence: Medium). Over their last 5 matches, Paderborn 07 have averaged 0.8 points per game against 1.8 for Hamburger. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.5 goals for Paderborn 07 and 1.4 for Hamburger. Recent matches involving the two teams average 2.9 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 2 meetings, Paderborn 07 won 1, 0 ended level and Hamburger won 1. The predicted score is Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger.

Statistics partly agree

The indicators are mixed or close to level, so recent data neither strongly backs nor contradicts the AI pick.

How confident is the call?

LowGap under 7 points
MediumGap of 7 to 14 points
HighGap of 15 points or more

Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 11 percentage points, which rates as Medium.

Our prediction

Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Hamburger carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.

Last updated: 23 October 2026, 22:25 UTC

Team form and stats

Paderborn 07
DLWLL
Last 5 matches
1Won
1Drawn
3Lost
5Goals scored
9Goals conceded
Home matches
2Won
0Drawn
3Lost
7Goals scored
9Goals conceded
Draw
1-1
Hamburger
WWWLL
Last 5 matches
3Won
0Drawn
2Lost
6Goals scored
13Goals conceded
Away matches
2Won
1Drawn
2Lost
6Goals scored
11Goals conceded

Match facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Paderborn 07 won 1, drawn 0, Hamburger won 1 (7 goals in total, 3.5 per game)
  • Both teams scored (BTTS) in 2 of the last 2 meetings
  • 2 of the last 2 meetings had over 2.5 goals
  • Paderborn 07: last 10 matches, won 2, drawn 3, lost 5 (scored 9, conceded 15, goal difference -6)
  • Paderborn 07 kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
  • Paderborn 07: last 10 home matches, won 5, drawn 0, lost 5 (scored 16, conceded 15)
  • Hamburger: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 1, lost 4 (scored 13, conceded 21, goal difference -8)
  • Hamburger kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
  • Hamburger: last 10 away matches, won 3, drawn 2, lost 5 (scored 12, conceded 23)

Head to head

Head-to-head summary

Last 2 meetings before this match.

50%
50%
Paderborn 07 wins: 1Draws: 0Hamburger wins: 1
3.5Goals per game
100%Both teams scored
100%Over 2.5 goals
  • Last meetingHamburger 1-2 Paderborn 07 (2 Apr 2022)
  • Biggest winHamburger 3-1 Paderborn 07 (30 Jan 2021)

Previous meetings

Apr. 2022
Hamburger
Paderborn 07
Jan. 2021
Hamburger
Paderborn 07

Recent results

Paderborn 07 recent results

Oct. 2026
Werder Bremen
Paderborn 07
D
Pred 3-1 ✗
Oct. 2026
Paderborn 07
Stuttgart
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Sep. 2026
Paderborn 07
Hoffenheim
W
Pred 2-2 ✗
Sep. 2026
Dortmund
Paderborn 07
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Sep. 2026
Paderborn 07
Freiburg
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Aug. 2026
Mainz 05
Paderborn 07
D
Pred 2-1 ✗
May. 2026
Paderborn 07
Wolfsburg
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
May. 2026
Wolfsburg
Paderborn 07
D
Pred 2-1 ✗
Oct. 2025
Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
L
Pred 0-2 ✓
Oct. 2024
Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Oct. 2026
Paderborn 07
Stuttgart
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Sep. 2026
Paderborn 07
Hoffenheim
W
Pred 2-2 ✗
Sep. 2026
Paderborn 07
Freiburg
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
May. 2026
Paderborn 07
Wolfsburg
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Oct. 2025
Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
L
Pred 0-2 ✓
Oct. 2024
Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Apr. 2023
Paderborn 07
Greuther Furth
W
Feb. 2023
Paderborn 07
Kaiserslautern
W
Feb. 2023
Paderborn 07
Dusseldorf
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Feb. 2023
Paderborn 07
Stuttgart
L
Pred 1-1 ✗

Hamburger recent results

Oct. 2026
Hamburger
Stuttgart
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Oct. 2026
Hoffenheim
Hamburger
W
Pred 2-1 ✗
Sep. 2026
Hamburger
Koln
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Sep. 2026
RB Leipzig
Hamburger
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Sep. 2026
Hamburger
Mainz 05
L
Pred 0-1 ✓
Aug. 2026
Dortmund
Hamburger
L
Pred 2-0 ✓✓
May. 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger
D
Pred 2-0 ✗
May. 2026
Hamburger
Freiburg
W
Pred 2-1 ✓
May. 2026
Frankfurt
Hamburger
W
Pred 2-1 ✗
Apr. 2026
Hamburger
Hoffenheim
L
Pred 1-2 ✓✓
Oct. 2026
Hoffenheim
Hamburger
W
Pred 2-1 ✗
Sep. 2026
RB Leipzig
Hamburger
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Aug. 2026
Dortmund
Hamburger
L
Pred 2-0 ✓✓
May. 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger
D
Pred 2-0 ✗
May. 2026
Frankfurt
Hamburger
W
Pred 2-1 ✗
Apr. 2026
Werder Bremen
Hamburger
L
Pred 1-1 ✗
Apr. 2026
Stuttgart
Hamburger
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Mar. 2026
Dortmund
Hamburger
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Mar. 2026
Wolfsburg
Hamburger
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Feb. 2026
Mainz 05
Hamburger
D
Pred 2-1 ✗

Prediction accuracy

Track record before this match

Paderborn 07
Last 30 predicted matches
40%Correct result
3%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
Hamburger
Last 30 predicted matches
43%Correct result
17%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
Bundesliga
Last 100 predicted matches
43%Correct result
10%Exact score
Based on 100 predicted matches

How accuracy is measured

  • Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
  • Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
  • Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
  • Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
  • Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.

Match information

  • CompetitionBundesliga
  • MatchPaderborn 07 vs Hamburger
  • Date24 October 2026
  • Kick-off13:30 UTC / 14:30 UK
  • Home teamPaderborn 07
  • Away teamHamburger
  • StatusScheduled

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger?

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Hamburger carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.

What is the predicted score for Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger?

The model predicts Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger, with medium confidence.

When is Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger?

The match is scheduled for 24 October 2026 at 13:30 UTC (14:30 UK time).

Where can I find Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger statistics?

This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.

What is the head-to-head record between Paderborn 07 and Hamburger?

In the last 2 meetings before this match, Paderborn 07 won 1, 0 ended in a draw and Hamburger won 1.

How have Paderborn 07 and Hamburger been playing recently?

Paderborn 07 won 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 0.9 goals per game. Hamburger won 5 of their last 10, scoring 1.3 per game.