Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Rayo Vallecano carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Rayo Vallecano at home vs Elche away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Drew last 2
- Unbeaten in last 3
- Drew last 2
- Unbeaten in last 3
- Clean sheet in last 2
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Rayo Vallecano face Elche in a La Liga fixture on 24 October 2026. Our AI model gives Rayo Vallecano a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Elche 28%; Rayo Vallecano carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Rayo Vallecano have averaged 1.6 points per game against 1.2 for Elche. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.6 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.6 for Elche. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.2 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 3, 0 ended level and Elche won 3. The predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 17 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Rayo Vallecano carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Last updated: 24 October 2026, 00:01 UTC
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 6 meetings: Rayo Vallecano won 3, drawn 0, Elche won 3 (17 goals in total, 2.8 per game)
- Both teams scored (BTTS) in 2 of the last 6 meetings
- 4 of the last 6 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 3 meetings with Rayo Vallecano at home: Rayo Vallecano won 3, drawn 0, Elche won 0
- Rayo Vallecano: last 10 matches, won 3, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 14, conceded 19, goal difference -5)
- Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home matches, won 7, drawn 3, lost 0 (scored 18, conceded 8)
- Elche: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 5, lost 4 (scored 12, conceded 18, goal difference -6)
- Elche kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- Elche: last 10 away matches, won 2, drawn 4, lost 4 (scored 12, conceded 14)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 6 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingRayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche (3 Apr 2026)
- Biggest winElche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano (21 Dec 2025)
Recent results
Rayo Vallecano recent results
Elche recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionLa Liga
- MatchRayo Vallecano vs Elche
- Date24 October 2026
- Kick-off12:00 UTC / 13:00 UK
- Home teamRayo Vallecano
- Away teamElche
- StatusScheduled
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Rayo Vallecano carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
The model predicts Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche, with high confidence.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
The match is scheduled for 24 October 2026 at 12:00 UTC (13:00 UK time).
Where can I find Rayo Vallecano vs Elche statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Elche?
In the last 6 meetings before this match, Rayo Vallecano won 3, 0 ended in a draw and Elche won 3.
How have Rayo Vallecano and Elche been playing recently?
Rayo Vallecano won 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game. Elche won 1 of their last 10, scoring 1.2 per game.