English League Championship

Full time

SOU
Southampton
1-0
POR
Portsmouth

Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction

11 October 2026 Kick-off: 11:00 UTC / 12:00 UK

Predicted scoreSouthampton 2–0 Portsmouth
Final scoreSouthampton 1-0 Portsmouth
Favoured outcomeSouthampton
ConfidenceHigh

Match overview

AI win probability

Based on pre-game data.

54%
26%
20%
Southampton winDrawPortsmouth win

On the model’s numbers, Southampton carries the higher win probability.

Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.

Form comparison

Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.

SouthamptonPortsmouth
10Matches analysed7
5 / 1 / 4Won / drawn / lost0 / 2 / 5
1.60Goals scored per game0.86
1.40Goals conceded per game2.14
+2Goal difference-9
1.60Points per game0.29
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score3

Goals per game

SouthamptonPortsmouth
1.60
Scored
0.86
1.40
Conceded
2.14

Goal markets

Share of recent matches where each line was met.

SouthamptonPortsmouth
80%
BTTS
57%
90%
Over 1.5
71%
70%
Over 2.5
57%
20%
Over 3.5
43%

Southampton at home vs Portsmouth away

Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.

SouthamptonPortsmouth
10Matches analysed5
3 / 2 / 5Won / drawn / lost0 / 2 / 3
1.20Goals scored per game1.00
1.70Goals conceded per game1.80
1.10Points per game0.40
1Clean sheets1

Current streaks

Southampton

No notable streak

Portsmouth
  • Winless in last 7

Prediction explained

Key factors

Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.

Recent formClear edge: Southampton
Points per game over the last 5 matches
Southampton: 2.00 pts/gamePortsmouth: 0.40 pts/game
Venue formClear edge: Southampton
Points per game: Southampton at home, Portsmouth away
Southampton: 1.10 pts/gamePortsmouth: 0.40 pts/game
Goal balanceSlight edge: Southampton
Scoring rate set against the opponent’s conceding rate
Southampton: 1.9 goalsPortsmouth: 1.1 goals
Goals trendHigh-scoring
Average total goals in both teams’ recent matches: 3.0

Why this prediction

Southampton faced Portsmouth in a English League Championship fixture on 11 October 2026. Our AI model gives Southampton a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portsmouth 20%; Southampton carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Southampton have averaged 2.0 points per game against 0.4 for Portsmouth. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.9 goals for Southampton and 1.1 for Portsmouth. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.0 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Southampton 2–0 Portsmouth.

Statistics agree

The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.

How confident is the call?

LowGap under 7 points
MediumGap of 7 to 14 points
HighGap of 15 points or more

Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 28 percentage points, which rates as High.

Our prediction

Southampton 2–0 Portsmouth

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Southampton carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.

Correct result
Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth
Predicted: Southampton 2–0 Portsmouth
Actual: Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth

Team form and stats

Southampton
WDLWW
Last 5 matches
3Won
1Drawn
1Lost
9Goals scored
5Goals conceded
Home matches
3Won
1Drawn
1Lost
9Goals scored
5Goals conceded
Home Win
2-0
Result
1-0
Portsmouth
DLLLD
Last 5 matches
0Won
2Drawn
3Lost
5Goals scored
12Goals conceded
Away matches
0Won
2Drawn
3Lost
5Goals scored
9Goals conceded

Upcoming matches

Southampton
24 Oct 2026
West Ham
Southampton
Portsmouth
24 Oct 2026
Portsmouth
Millwall

Match facts

  • Southampton: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 1, lost 4 (scored 16, conceded 14, goal difference +2)
  • Southampton kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
  • Southampton: last 10 home matches, won 3, drawn 2, lost 5 (scored 12, conceded 17)
  • Portsmouth: last 7 matches, won 0, drawn 2, lost 5 (scored 6, conceded 15, goal difference -9)
  • Portsmouth kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 7 matches
  • Portsmouth: last 5 away matches, won 0, drawn 2, lost 3 (scored 5, conceded 9)

Recent results

Southampton recent results

Sep. 2026
Southampton
Bristol City
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Sep. 2026
Birmingham
Southampton
D
Pred 1-0 ✗
Apr. 2026
Manchester City
Southampton
L
Pred 2-1 ✓✓
Apr. 2026
Southampton
Arsenal
W
Pred 1-2 ✗
Mar. 2026
Fulham
Southampton
W
Pred 1-0 ✗
Feb. 2026
Southampton
Leicester City
W
Pred 1-0 ✓
Jan. 2026
Doncaster Rovers
Southampton
W
Pred 0-1 ✓
Sep. 2025
Liverpool
Southampton
L
Pred 3-1 ✓
May. 2025
Southampton
Arsenal
L
Pred 0-3 ✓
May. 2025
Everton
Southampton
L
Pred 2-0 ✓✓
Sep. 2026
Southampton
Bristol City
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Apr. 2026
Southampton
Arsenal
W
Pred 1-2 ✗
Feb. 2026
Southampton
Leicester City
W
Pred 1-0 ✓
May. 2025
Southampton
Arsenal
L
Pred 0-3 ✓
May. 2025
Southampton
Manchester City
D
Pred 0-2 ✗
Apr. 2025
Southampton
Fulham
L
Pred 0-2 ✓
Apr. 2025
Southampton
Aston Villa
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Apr. 2025
Southampton
Crystal Palace
D
Pred 0-2 ✗
Mar. 2025
Southampton
Wolves
L
Pred 0-2 ✓
Feb. 2025
Southampton
Brighton
L
Pred 0-2 ✓

Portsmouth recent results

Sep. 2026
Charlton
Portsmouth
D
Pred 1-0 ✗
Sep. 2026
Portsmouth
Derby County
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Aug. 2026
West Ham
Portsmouth
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Jan. 2026
Portsmouth
Arsenal
L
Pred 0-3 ✓
Aug. 2024
Leeds United
Portsmouth
D
Pred 2-0 ✗
Jan. 2023
Tottenham
Portsmouth
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Jan. 2021
Bristol City
Portsmouth
L
Sep. 2026
Charlton
Portsmouth
D
Pred 1-0 ✗
Aug. 2026
West Ham
Portsmouth
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Aug. 2024
Leeds United
Portsmouth
D
Pred 2-0 ✗
Jan. 2023
Tottenham
Portsmouth
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Jan. 2021
Bristol City
Portsmouth
L

Prediction accuracy

Track record before this match

Southampton
Last 30 predicted matches
67%Correct result
17%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
Portsmouth
Last 30 predicted matches
67%Correct result
0%Exact score
Based on 6 predicted matches
English League Championship
Last 100 predicted matches
33%Correct result
5%Exact score
Based on 100 predicted matches

How accuracy is measured

  • Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
  • Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
  • Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
  • Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
  • Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.

Match information

  • CompetitionEnglish League Championship
  • MatchSouthampton vs Portsmouth
  • Date11 October 2026
  • Kick-off11:00 UTC / 12:00 UK
  • Home teamSouthampton
  • Away teamPortsmouth
  • StatusFinished (1-0)

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Southampton vs Portsmouth?

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Southampton carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Portsmouth?

The model predicts Southampton 2–0 Portsmouth, with high confidence.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Portsmouth?

Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth.

Was the prediction for Southampton vs Portsmouth correct?

Partly. The predicted score was off, but the predicted outcome matched the real result.

When was Southampton vs Portsmouth?

The match was played on 11 October 2026 at 11:00 UTC (12:00 UK time).

Where can I find Southampton vs Portsmouth statistics?

This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.

How have Southampton and Portsmouth been playing recently?

Southampton won 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game. Portsmouth won 0 of their last 7, scoring 0.9 per game.