UEFA Europa League

Full time

UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
1-1
REA
Real Sociedad

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Prediction

15 October 2026 Kick-off: 16:45 UTC / 17:45 UK

Predicted scoreUnion Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad
Final scoreUnion Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
Favoured outcomeReal Sociedad
ConfidenceMedium

Match overview

AI win probability

Based on pre-game data.

32%
29%
39%
Union Saint-Gilloise winDrawReal Sociedad win

On the model’s numbers, Real Sociedad carries the higher win probability.

Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.

Form comparison

Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.

Union Saint-GilloiseReal Sociedad
10Matches analysed10
3 / 1 / 6Won / drawn / lost4 / 1 / 5
1.30Goals scored per game1.40
2.20Goals conceded per game2.00
-9Goal difference-6
1.00Points per game1.30
3Clean sheets1
3Failed to score3

Goals per game

Union Saint-GilloiseReal Sociedad
1.30
Scored
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.00

Goal markets

Share of recent matches where each line was met.

Union Saint-GilloiseReal Sociedad
40%
BTTS
70%
80%
Over 1.5
80%
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
Over 3.5
50%

Union Saint-Gilloise at home vs Real Sociedad away

Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.

Union Saint-GilloiseReal Sociedad
10Matches analysed10
3 / 3 / 4Won / drawn / lost3 / 3 / 4
1.10Goals scored per game1.70
1.90Goals conceded per game2.00
1.20Points per game1.20
2Clean sheets0

Current streaks

Union Saint-Gilloise

No notable streak

Real Sociedad
  • Won last 2

Prediction explained

Key factors

Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.

Recent formSlight edge: Real Sociedad
Points per game over the last 5 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise: 1.40 pts/gameReal Sociedad: 1.80 pts/game
Venue formEvenly matched
Points per game: Union Saint-Gilloise at home, Real Sociedad away
Union Saint-Gilloise: 1.20 pts/gameReal Sociedad: 1.20 pts/game
Goal balanceEvenly matched
Scoring rate set against the opponent’s conceding rate
Union Saint-Gilloise: 1.7 goalsReal Sociedad: 1.8 goals
Goals trendHigh-scoring
Average total goals in both teams’ recent matches: 3.5

Why this prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise faced Real Sociedad in a UEFA Europa League fixture on 15 October 2026. Our AI model gives Union Saint-Gilloise a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Real Sociedad 39%; Real Sociedad carries the higher win probability (confidence: Medium). Over their last 5 matches, Union Saint-Gilloise have averaged 1.4 points per game against 1.8 for Real Sociedad. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.7 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.8 for Real Sociedad. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.5 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad.

Statistics agree

The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.

How confident is the call?

LowGap under 7 points
MediumGap of 7 to 14 points
HighGap of 15 points or more

Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 7 percentage points, which rates as Medium.

Our prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Real Sociedad carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.

Correct score
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
Predicted: Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad
Actual: Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad

Team form and stats

Union Saint-Gilloise
WLDWL
Last 5 matches
2Won
1Drawn
2Lost
9Goals scored
8Goals conceded
Home matches
1Won
1Drawn
3Lost
6Goals scored
14Goals conceded
Draw
1-1
Result
1-1
Real Sociedad
WWLLW
Last 5 matches
3Won
0Drawn
2Lost
10Goals scored
11Goals conceded
Away matches
2Won
0Drawn
3Lost
8Goals scored
12Goals conceded

Upcoming matches

Real Sociedad
25 Oct 2026
Real Sociedad
Levante

Match facts

  • Union Saint-Gilloise: last 10 matches, won 3, drawn 1, lost 6 (scored 13, conceded 22, goal difference -9)
  • Union Saint-Gilloise kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 10 matches
  • Union Saint-Gilloise: last 10 home matches, won 3, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 11, conceded 19)
  • Real Sociedad: last 10 matches, won 4, drawn 1, lost 5 (scored 14, conceded 20, goal difference -6)
  • Real Sociedad kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
  • Real Sociedad: last 10 away matches, won 3, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 17, conceded 20)

Recent results

Union Saint-Gilloise recent results

Sep. 2026
Viktoria Plzen
Union Saint-Gilloise
W
Pred 2-1 ✗
Aug. 2026
Bodo Glimt
Union Saint-Gilloise
L
Pred 3-1 ✓
Aug. 2026
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodo Glimt
D
Pred 1-1 ✓
Jan. 2026
Union Saint-Gilloise
Atalanta
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Jan. 2026
Bayern Munich
Union Saint-Gilloise
L
Pred 5-0 ✓
Dec. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Marseille
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Nov. 2025
Galatasaray
Union Saint-Gilloise
W
Pred 2-0 ✗
Nov. 2025
Atletico Madrid
Union Saint-Gilloise
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Oct. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Inter Milan
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Oct. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Aug. 2026
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodo Glimt
D
Pred 1-1 ✓
Jan. 2026
Union Saint-Gilloise
Atalanta
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Dec. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Marseille
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Oct. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Inter Milan
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Oct. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Newcastle United
L
Pred 1-2 ✓
Feb. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Ajax
L
Pred 2-2 ✗
Jan. 2025
Union Saint-Gilloise
Sporting Braga
W
Pred 2-1 ✓✓
Dec. 2024
Union Saint-Gilloise
Nice
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Nov. 2024
Union Saint-Gilloise
AS Roma
D
Pred 0-1 ✗
Oct. 2024
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodo Glimt
D
Pred 0-1 ✗

Real Sociedad recent results

Oct. 2026
Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruna
W
Pred 1-0 ✓
Sep. 2026
Valencia
Real Sociedad
W
Pred 1-0 ✗
Sep. 2026
Real Sociedad
Bournemouth
L
Pred 2-1 ✗
Sep. 2026
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
L
Pred 2-1 ✗
Sep. 2026
Elche
Real Sociedad
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Sep. 2026
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
D
Pred 1-1 ✓
Aug. 2026
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
W
Pred 2-1 ✓✓
Aug. 2026
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Aug. 2026
Betis
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 1-1 ✗
Aug. 2026
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Sep. 2026
Valencia
Real Sociedad
W
Pred 1-0 ✗
Sep. 2026
Elche
Real Sociedad
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Aug. 2026
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Aug. 2026
Betis
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 1-1 ✗
Aug. 2026
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Jul. 2026
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
W
Pred 2-0 ✗
May. 2026
Espanyol
Real Sociedad
D
Pred 1-1 ✓✓
May. 2026
Girona
Real Sociedad
D
Pred 1-1 ✓✓
May. 2026
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
L
Pred 1-2 ✗
Apr. 2026
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
D
Pred 1-0 ✗

Prediction accuracy

Track record before this match

Union Saint-Gilloise
Last 30 predicted matches
50%Correct result
7%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
Real Sociedad
Last 30 predicted matches
53%Correct result
10%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
UEFA Europa League
Last 100 predicted matches
42%Correct result
9%Exact score
Based on 100 predicted matches

How accuracy is measured

  • Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
  • Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
  • Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
  • Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
  • Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.

Match information

  • CompetitionUEFA Europa League
  • MatchUnion Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad
  • Date15 October 2026
  • Kick-off16:45 UTC / 17:45 UK
  • Home teamUnion Saint-Gilloise
  • Away teamReal Sociedad
  • StatusFinished (1-1)

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Real Sociedad carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.

What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

The model predicts Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad, with medium confidence.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad.

Was the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad correct?

Yes. The prediction matched the exact full-time score.

When was Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

The match was played on 15 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC (17:45 UK time).

Where can I find Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad statistics?

This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.

How have Union Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad been playing recently?

Union Saint-Gilloise won 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.3 goals per game. Real Sociedad won 4 of their last 10, scoring 1.4 per game.