Featured match UEFA Champions League

Full time

INT
Inter Milan
1-0
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk

Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

21 October 2026 Kick-off: 19:00 UTC / 20:00 UK

Predicted scoreInter Milan 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Final scoreInter Milan 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk
Favoured outcomeInter Milan
ConfidenceHigh

Match overview

AI win probability

Based on pre-game data.

51%
31%
28%
Inter Milan winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

On the model’s numbers, Inter Milan carries the higher win probability.

Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.

Form comparison

Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.

Inter MilanShakhtar Donetsk
10Matches analysed10
7 / 1 / 2Won / drawn / lost5 / 2 / 3
2.60Goals scored per game2.00
1.50Goals conceded per game1.30
+11Goal difference+7
2.20Points per game1.70
3Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0

Goals per game

Inter MilanShakhtar Donetsk
2.60
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.30

Goal markets

Share of recent matches where each line was met.

Inter MilanShakhtar Donetsk
70%
BTTS
80%
80%
Over 1.5
100%
80%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
Over 3.5
40%

Inter Milan at home vs Shakhtar Donetsk away

Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.

Inter MilanShakhtar Donetsk
10Matches analysed10
8 / 1 / 1Won / drawn / lost4 / 2 / 4
2.80Goals scored per game1.80
1.30Goals conceded per game1.60
2.50Points per game1.40
4Clean sheets1

Current streaks

Inter Milan

No notable streak

Shakhtar Donetsk
  • Won last 3
  • Unbeaten in last 4

Prediction explained

Key factors

Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.

Recent formEvenly matched
Points per game over the last 5 matches
Inter Milan: 2.00 pts/gameShakhtar Donetsk: 2.00 pts/game
Venue formSlight edge: Inter Milan
Points per game: Inter Milan at home, Shakhtar Donetsk away
Inter Milan: 2.50 pts/gameShakhtar Donetsk: 1.40 pts/game
Goal balanceEvenly matched
Scoring rate set against the opponent’s conceding rate
Inter Milan: 2.0 goalsShakhtar Donetsk: 1.8 goals
Goals trendHigh-scoring
Average total goals in both teams’ recent matches: 3.7

Why this prediction

Inter Milan faced Shakhtar Donetsk in a UEFA Champions League fixture on 21 October 2026. Our AI model gives Inter Milan a 51% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Shakhtar Donetsk 28%; Inter Milan carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Inter Milan have averaged 2.0 points per game against 2.0 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.0 goals for Inter Milan and 1.8 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.7 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 1 meetings, Inter Milan won 1, 0 ended level and Shakhtar Donetsk won 0. The predicted score is Inter Milan 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk.

Statistics agree

The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.

How confident is the call?

LowGap under 7 points
MediumGap of 7 to 14 points
HighGap of 15 points or more

Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 20 percentage points, which rates as High.

Our prediction

Inter Milan 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Inter Milan carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.

Correct result
Inter Milan 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk
Predicted: Inter Milan 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Actual: Inter Milan 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk

Insight

  • Inter Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk have met seven times in European competition, with three Inter wins and four draws.
  • Inter beat Shakhtar 2-0 at the San Siro in their most recent meeting.
  • Inter are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Shakhtar, winning twice and drawing three times.
  • Inter have lost both of their Champions League matches this season.
  • Shakhtar have scored at least twice in each of their last five matches.
  • Shakhtar are unbeaten in seven matches, winning five and drawing two.

Team form and stats

Inter Milan
WLWDW
Last 5 matches
3Won
1Drawn
1Lost
16Goals scored
10Goals conceded
Home matches
4Won
0Drawn
1Lost
18Goals scored
10Goals conceded
Home Win
2-1
Result
1-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
WWWDL
Last 5 matches
3Won
1Drawn
1Lost
10Goals scored
5Goals conceded
Away matches
2Won
2Drawn
1Lost
10Goals scored
6Goals conceded

Upcoming matches

Inter Milan
25 Oct 2026
Inter Milan
Fiorentina

Match facts

  • Last 1 meetings: Inter Milan won 1, drawn 0, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 (2 goals in total, 2.0 per game)
  • Last 1 meetings with Inter Milan at home: Inter Milan won 1, drawn 0, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0
  • Inter Milan: last 10 matches, won 7, drawn 1, lost 2 (scored 26, conceded 15, goal difference +11)
  • Inter Milan kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 10 matches
  • Inter Milan: last 10 home matches, won 8, drawn 1, lost 1 (scored 28, conceded 13)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 2, lost 3 (scored 20, conceded 13, goal difference +7)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
  • Shakhtar Donetsk: last 10 away matches, won 4, drawn 2, lost 4 (scored 18, conceded 16)

Head to head

Head-to-head summary

Last 1 meetings before this match.

100%
Inter Milan wins: 1Draws: 0Shakhtar Donetsk wins: 0
2.0Goals per game
0%Both teams scored
0%Over 2.5 goals
  • Last meetingInter Milan 2-0 Shakhtar Donetsk (24 Nov 2021)
  • Biggest winInter Milan 2-0 Shakhtar Donetsk (24 Nov 2021)

Previous meetings

Nov. 2021
Inter Milan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Nov. 2021
Inter Milan
Shakhtar Donetsk

Recent results

Inter Milan recent results

Oct. 2026
Bologna
Inter Milan
W
Pred 1-2 ✓
Oct. 2026
Inter Milan
Club Brugge
L
Pred 3-1 ✗
Oct. 2026
Inter Milan
Parma
W
Pred 3-0 ✓✓
Sep. 2026
AS Roma
Inter Milan
D
Pred 2-3 ✗
Sep. 2026
Inter Milan
Udinese
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Sep. 2026
Real Madrid
Inter Milan
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Sep. 2026
Inter Milan
Napoli
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Aug. 2026
Cagliari
Inter Milan
W
Pred 0-1 ✓✓
Aug. 2026
Inter Milan
Monza
W
Pred 3-1 ✓
Aug. 2026
Inter Milan
Betis
W
Pred 2-1 ✓
Oct. 2026
Inter Milan
Club Brugge
L
Pred 3-1 ✗
Oct. 2026
Inter Milan
Parma
W
Pred 3-0 ✓✓
Sep. 2026
Inter Milan
Udinese
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Sep. 2026
Inter Milan
Napoli
W
Pred 2-0 ✓
Aug. 2026
Inter Milan
Monza
W
Pred 3-1 ✓
Aug. 2026
Inter Milan
Betis
W
Pred 2-1 ✓
May. 2026
Inter Milan
Hellas Verona
D
Pred 3-1 ✗
May. 2026
Inter Milan
Parma
W
Pred 2-0 ✓✓
Apr. 2026
Inter Milan
Calcio Como
W
Pred 2-1 ✓
Apr. 2026
Inter Milan
Cagliari
W
Pred 2-0 ✓

Shakhtar Donetsk recent results

Oct. 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
W
Oct. 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens
W
Pred 1-0 ✓
Oct. 2026
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Sep. 2026
PSV
Shakhtar Donetsk
D
Pred 1-0 ✗
May. 2026
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
May. 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
L
Pred 2-1 ✗
Apr. 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
D
Pred 2-1 ✗
Apr. 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
W
Pred 2-1 ✓
Mar. 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
L
Pred 2-0 ✗
Mar. 2026
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Pred 1-2 ✓
Oct. 2026
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Sep. 2026
PSV
Shakhtar Donetsk
D
Pred 1-0 ✗
May. 2026
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Apr. 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
D
Pred 2-1 ✗
Mar. 2026
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Pred 1-2 ✓
Nov. 2025
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Pred 1-1 ✗
Oct. 2025
Aberdeen
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Pred 1-2 ✓
Jan. 2025
Dortmund
Shakhtar Donetsk
L
Pred 2-1 ✓
Nov. 2024
PSV
Shakhtar Donetsk
L
Pred 2-0 ✓
Oct. 2024
Arsenal
Shakhtar Donetsk
L
Pred 2-1 ✓

Prediction accuracy

Track record before this match

Inter Milan
Last 30 predicted matches
67%Correct result
13%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 30 predicted matches
57%Correct result
10%Exact score
Based on 30 predicted matches
UEFA Champions League
Last 100 predicted matches
59%Correct result
6%Exact score
Based on 100 predicted matches

How accuracy is measured

  • Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
  • Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
  • Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
  • Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
  • Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.

Match information

  • CompetitionUEFA Champions League
  • MatchInter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk
  • Date21 October 2026
  • Kick-off19:00 UTC / 20:00 UK
  • Home teamInter Milan
  • Away teamShakhtar Donetsk
  • StatusFinished (1-0)

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

In PredictionsFooty’s model, Inter Milan carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.

What is the predicted score for Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model predicts Inter Milan 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, with high confidence.

What was the final score of Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inter Milan 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk.

Was the prediction for Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk correct?

Partly. The predicted score was off, but the predicted outcome matched the real result.

When was Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The match was played on 21 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC (20:00 UK time).

Where can I find Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk statistics?

This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.

What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk?

In the last 1 meetings before this match, Inter Milan won 1, 0 ended in a draw and Shakhtar Donetsk won 0.

How have Inter Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk been playing recently?

Inter Milan won 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.6 goals per game. Shakhtar Donetsk won 5 of their last 10, scoring 2.0 per game.

Why is Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk a featured match?

This fixture is flagged as a featured match in UEFA Champions League, based on its profile and audience interest, so it gets extended coverage on PredictionsFooty.

What are the key factors behind the Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction?

The page looks at recent form, venue form, goal balance and sets them beside the AI probabilities. For this match: statistics agree.

Is Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk expected to be a high-scoring game?

Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.7 goals, which points to a high-scoring game.

How accurate are PredictionsFooty predictions in UEFA Champions League?

Across the 100 most recent predicted matches before this one, the model called the correct result 59% of the time and the exact score 6% of the time.

Where can I see more UEFA Champions League predictions?

Browse every match on the UEFA Champions League predictions page.