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Belgium vs Turkey Prediction
Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Belgium carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Belgium at home vs Turkey away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
No notable streak
- Lost last 2
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Belgium faced Turkey in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 2 October 2026. Our AI model gives Belgium a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Turkey 23%; Belgium carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Belgium have averaged 1.8 points per game against 0.6 for Turkey. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.8 goals for Belgium and 1.1 for Turkey. Recent matches involving the two teams average 2.9 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. The predicted score is Belgium 2–0 Turkey.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 35 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Belgium carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Belgium 3-0 Turkey
Insight
- Türkiye and Belgium are level in their 11 previous meetings, with three wins each and five draws.
- The latest encounter ended 1-1 in June 2011.
- Türkiye won the previous meeting 3-2 at home in 2010.
- Türkiye won Belgium 2-0 in the group stage of Euro 2000.
- Belgium have never beaten Türkiye in their three previous meetings at the European Championship.
- Türkiye conceded three goals inside the opening 27 minutes of Monday's 4-1 defeat by Italy.
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Belgium: last 10 matches, won 6, drawn 2, lost 2 (scored 23, conceded 8, goal difference +15)
- Belgium kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 10 matches
- Belgium: last 10 home matches, won 6, drawn 3, lost 1 (scored 29, conceded 7)
- Turkey: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 1, lost 4 (scored 14, conceded 13, goal difference +1)
- Turkey kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 10 matches
- Turkey: last 10 away matches, won 5, drawn 2, lost 3 (scored 21, conceded 14)
Recent results
Belgium recent results
Turkey recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionUEFA Nations League
- MatchBelgium vs Turkey
- Date2 October 2026
- Kick-off18:45 UTC / 19:45 UK
- Home teamBelgium
- Away teamTurkey
- StatusFinished (3-0)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Belgium vs Turkey?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Belgium carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Turkey?
The model predicts Belgium 2–0 Turkey, with high confidence.
What was the final score of Belgium vs Turkey?
Belgium 3-0 Turkey.
Was the prediction for Belgium vs Turkey correct?
Partly. The predicted score was off, but the predicted outcome matched the real result.
When was Belgium vs Turkey?
The match was played on 2 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC (19:45 UK time).
Where can I find Belgium vs Turkey statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
How have Belgium and Turkey been playing recently?
Belgium won 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.3 goals per game. Turkey won 5 of their last 10, scoring 1.4 per game.
Why is Belgium vs Turkey a featured match?
This fixture is flagged as a featured match in UEFA Nations League, based on its profile and audience interest, so it gets extended coverage on PredictionsFooty.
What are the key factors behind the Belgium vs Turkey prediction?
The page looks at recent form, venue form, goal balance and sets them beside the AI probabilities. For this match: statistics agree.
Is Belgium vs Turkey expected to be a high-scoring game?
Recent matches involving the two teams average 2.9 goals, which points to a high-scoring game.
How accurate are PredictionsFooty predictions in UEFA Nations League?
Across the 100 most recent predicted matches before this one, the model called the correct result 44% of the time and the exact score 10% of the time.
Where can I see more UEFA Nations League predictions?
Browse every match on the UEFA Nations League predictions page.