Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Ajax carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Groningen at home vs Ajax away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Groningen faced Ajax in a Eredivisie fixture on 18 October 2026. Our AI model gives Groningen a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ajax 47%; Ajax carries the higher win probability (confidence: Medium). Over their last 5 matches, Groningen have averaged 1.2 points per game against 1.4 for Ajax. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.7 goals for Groningen and 2.7 for Ajax. Recent matches involving the two teams average 4.4 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 7 meetings, Groningen won 1, 1 ended level and Ajax won 5. The predicted score is Groningen 2–2 Ajax.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 14 percentage points, which rates as Medium.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Ajax carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Groningen 2-5 Ajax
Team form and stats
Match facts
- Last 7 meetings: Groningen won 1, drawn 1, Ajax won 5 (26 goals in total, 3.7 per game)
- Both teams scored (BTTS) in 5 of the last 7 meetings
- 5 of the last 7 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 4 meetings with Groningen at home: Groningen won 1, drawn 1, Ajax won 2
- Groningen: last 10 matches, won 3, drawn 0, lost 7 (scored 16, conceded 24, goal difference -8)
- Groningen kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Groningen: last 10 home matches, won 3, drawn 3, lost 4 (scored 15, conceded 11)
- Ajax: last 10 matches, won 5, drawn 3, lost 2 (scored 30, conceded 17, goal difference +13)
- Ajax kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Ajax: last 10 away matches, won 7, drawn 2, lost 1 (scored 27, conceded 8)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 7 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingAjax 2-0 Groningen (21 May 2026)
- Biggest winAjax 6-1 Groningen (14 Aug 2022)
Recent results
Groningen recent results
Ajax recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionEredivisie
- MatchGroningen vs Ajax
- Date18 October 2026
- Kick-off14:45 UTC / 15:45 UK
- Home teamGroningen
- Away teamAjax
- StatusFinished (2-5)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Groningen vs Ajax?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Ajax carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Ajax?
The model predicts Groningen 2–2 Ajax, with medium confidence.
What was the final score of Groningen vs Ajax?
Groningen 2-5 Ajax.
Was the prediction for Groningen vs Ajax correct?
No. The predicted outcome did not match the real result.
When was Groningen vs Ajax?
The match was played on 18 October 2026 at 14:45 UTC (15:45 UK time).
Where can I find Groningen vs Ajax statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Ajax?
In the last 7 meetings before this match, Groningen won 1, 1 ended in a draw and Ajax won 5.
How have Groningen and Ajax been playing recently?
Groningen won 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game. Ajax won 5 of their last 10, scoring 3.0 per game.