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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam Prediction
Match overview
AI win probability
Based on pre-game data.
On the model’s numbers, Heerenveen carries the higher win probability.
Our AI-based model makes predictions based on recent form, home performance, attacking and defensive metrics, and other available match data.
Form comparison
Based on each team's most recent matches before this fixture.
Goals per game
Goal markets
Share of recent matches where each line was met.
Heerenveen at home vs Excelsior Rotterdam away
Venue form: home team in home matches, away team in away matches.
Current streaks
- Lost last 2
- Winless in last 3
- Lost last 3
- Winless in last 8
Prediction explained
Key factors
Indicators calculated from each team’s recent matches and their head-to-head record. They describe the data behind the pick and are not the model’s internal weights.
Why this prediction
Heerenveen faced Excelsior Rotterdam in a Eredivisie fixture on 16 October 2026. Our AI model gives Heerenveen a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Excelsior Rotterdam 21%; Heerenveen carries the higher win probability (confidence: High). Over their last 5 matches, Heerenveen have averaged 0.8 points per game against 0.2 for Excelsior Rotterdam. Scoring and conceding rates point to about 1.9 goals for Heerenveen and 1.9 for Excelsior Rotterdam. Recent matches involving the two teams average 3.7 goals, which points to a high-scoring game. In their last 3 meetings, Heerenveen won 1, 0 ended level and Excelsior Rotterdam won 2. The predicted score is Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior Rotterdam.
Statistics agree
The recent-form and head-to-head indicators point the same way as the AI pick.
How confident is the call?
Confidence is based on the gap between the two most likely outcomes. For this match the gap is 38 percentage points, which rates as High.
Our prediction
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Heerenveen carries the higher win probability, based on the available team and match data.
Actual: Heerenveen 4-0 Excelsior Rotterdam
Team form and stats
Upcoming matches
Match facts
- Last 3 meetings: Heerenveen won 1, drawn 0, Excelsior Rotterdam won 2 (7 goals in total, 2.3 per game)
- 2 of the last 3 meetings had over 2.5 goals
- Last 1 meetings with Heerenveen at home: Heerenveen won 0, drawn 0, Excelsior Rotterdam won 1
- Heerenveen: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 3, lost 6 (scored 10, conceded 21, goal difference -11)
- Heerenveen kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 10 matches
- Heerenveen: last 10 home matches, won 2, drawn 4, lost 4 (scored 9, conceded 19)
- Excelsior Rotterdam: last 10 matches, won 1, drawn 2, lost 7 (scored 16, conceded 27, goal difference -11)
- Excelsior Rotterdam kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 10 matches
- Excelsior Rotterdam: last 10 away matches, won 0, drawn 1, lost 9 (scored 13, conceded 33)
Head to head
Head-to-head summary
Last 3 meetings before this match.
- Last meetingExcelsior Rotterdam 3-0 Heerenveen (19 Jan 2024)
- Biggest winExcelsior Rotterdam 3-0 Heerenveen (19 Jan 2024)
Recent results
Heerenveen recent results
Excelsior Rotterdam recent results
Prediction accuracy
Track record before this match
How accuracy is measured
- Correct result: the predicted outcome (home win, draw or away win) matches the full-time outcome.
- Exact score: the predicted score equals the full-time score.
- Only finished matches that had a saved prediction are counted. Matches without a prediction are left out, so the sample size is shown on every figure.
- Predictions are saved before kick-off and are not changed afterwards.
- Figures with fewer than 5 predicted matches are not shown, because small samples swing too much to mean anything.
Match information
- CompetitionEredivisie
- MatchHeerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam
- Date16 October 2026
- Kick-off18:00 UTC / 19:00 UK
- Home teamHeerenveen
- Away teamExcelsior Rotterdam
- StatusFinished (4-0)
Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam?
In PredictionsFooty’s model, Heerenveen carries the higher win probability, based on the available match data.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam?
The model predicts Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior Rotterdam, with high confidence.
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam?
Heerenveen 4-0 Excelsior Rotterdam.
Was the prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam correct?
Partly. The predicted score was off, but the predicted outcome matched the real result.
When was Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam?
The match was played on 16 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC (19:00 UK time).
Where can I find Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam statistics?
This page covers recent form, head-to-head records, team statistics and other match data used to build the prediction.
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Excelsior Rotterdam?
In the last 3 meetings before this match, Heerenveen won 1, 0 ended in a draw and Excelsior Rotterdam won 2.
How have Heerenveen and Excelsior Rotterdam been playing recently?
Heerenveen won 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 1.0 goals per game. Excelsior Rotterdam won 1 of their last 10, scoring 1.6 per game.